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Thursday, June 20, 2013

Be Financially Smart and NOT Ignorant!!!



I want to thank Maria who called me 2 weeks ago for encouraging me not to stop writing these articles. Sometimes, I wonder if anyone is actually reading them. But, I am glad that there are those who still read and not just listen to the news on TV.

I want to review some things that I believe are extremely important for people to know prior to making decisions that are not wise. The million dollar question is to fix or not to fix your mortgage? Those who decide to fix are not making a smart decision.

Why? 

Most first time homebuyers make the mistake by going with a 5 year fixed mortgage. They do this because they want peace of mind and do not want to think about their mortgage any further. Like most people, especially those who work in construction, do not have the time to keep an eye on the rates. They leave the house at 6 am to start their work day at 7 am. They usually get home around 6 pm. They will have dinner with the family and try to spend some quality time with them. Then around 9 or 10 o’clock in the evening they are watching the news and then all of a sudden the TV is watching them fall asleep. These individuals think that the interest rates will sky rocket from 2.89 (today’s 5 year fixed) to 8 or 9% overnight which is IMPOSSIBLE.

I have been advocating variable mortgages for the last 15 years. Those who took my advice are now laughing. But those who didn’t are now crying. Remember when rates go up, no one complains. But when rates go down and you want to get out of the fixed mortgage to take advantage of the new lower rates, there will be penalties to pay. In contrast, a variable to a fixed rate mortgage there are no penalties or costs to lock into a fixed rate mortgage.

In Sept 2010, I met with a client which I will name Sr. Jorge. He had just bought a house and he was quoted a rate for 5 yr fixed at 2.99. I told him that was an excellent rate. However a variable mortgage would be much better. How so? Well, first of all not all banks have a variable mortgage at prime minus 0.80 at 2.20%.  In order to be competitive in the market some banks are offering a low rate for 5 year. They are putting a carrot in the front of the horse to see if the horse will bite on it.

Sr. Jorge was a bit hesitant to go with a variable mortgage but he took my advice and now he is extremely happy with the decision. His original mortgage was $132,875.45. He now owes $91,458.76. So in two (2) years he has managed to reduce his mortgage by $41,417. So you are asking how on earth did he manage to do this?

Very easy!!! He managed to make his monthly payments of $1,329.57 (based on the 5 year fixed) the same on a monthly basis but he went variable. The monthly payments did not change. However, the principle portion increases and the interest is reduced each month.

                                                            Interest                         Principal
            May 01                                    325.66                         1,003.91
            June 01                                    308.09                         1,021.48
            July 01                                     295.62                         1,033.95

So let us do some math at this stage. Based on a mortgage for $250,000 at today’s 5 year fixed rate at 2.89% the monthly payments would be $1,169.03. The principal portion would be $570.54 and the interest 598.49.

But, based on a variable mortgage at prime (3%) minus 0.40 = 2.60% the monthly payments would now be $1,132.39. The principal would be $593.63 and the interest would be $538.76.

Let is now assume that if the prime rate goes up to 3.25 minus 0.40, the variable rate would now be at 2.85%. Based at 2.85% the monthly payments would now be $1,163.94 The principal would be $573.68 and the interest would be $590.26                       

So if you didn’t know any better you would go fixed at 2.89 for a monthly payment of  $1,169.03. However, the smart people would still continue to make that payment of 1,169.03 but go variable.

Why? More principal will be applied towards your mortgage.

By forcing yourself to make the payments of $1,169.03 and not $1,132.39 (2.60% variable) you are still throwing $36.64 more of principal plus the principal portion on the variable mortgage which is $593.63 = 630.27 on a monthly basis. Now $630.27 x 6 months = $3,781.62 towards principal.

Now let us assume that prime rate goes up to 3.25 minus 0.40 = 2.85%. The payments would still continue to be the same at $1,169.03 (still based on the 5 year fixed). However, now the principal portion would be less cause 1,169.03 minus $ 1,163.94 = $5.09 plus the principal portion on 2.85% ($573.68) = $578.77 x 6 months = $3,472.62 towards the mortgage.

In the end result you have thrown $3,781.62 plus $3,472.62 = $7,254.24 AT LEAST towards the mortgage within one year in the variable mortgage.

Why do I say AT LEAST $7,254.24?

Remember Sr. Jorge? His payments never changes per month. But his principal portion would increase each month. That is why he was able to throw $41,417 toward his mortgage within 2 years.

Now let’s compare the fixed 5 year. The principal portion was $570.54 x 12 months = $6,846.48 the difference between the two is $407.76 ($7,254.24 minus $6,846.48).

If 10,000 customers decided to lock into a 5 year fixed mortgage, $407.76 (savings on a variable mortgage compared to a fixed mortgage) the bank would make $4,077,600 millions of dollars.

So, next time when you hear that the banks are making millions of dollars and you get upset, remember you just helped them to make more millions of profit.

Remember folks, math never lies. We tend to make decisions based on emotion and not on logic. If you had a choice to put more money into your pocket versus giving it to the bank, what would you chose? So next time when you hear that the banks are making millions of dollars in profit, remember on thing- you just helped the bank make more money off you by deciding to go with a fixed mortgage.

So be financial smart and not financial ignorant!!!!

For more information contact your Toronto Mortgage Broker at 416-920-9931

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